"Suppliers and end users flexible enough to switch to bulk from containers via the hub and spoke model will gain market share over those who cannot."
How have the last 12 months been for Andino / Andikem?
Our revenues forecasted for 2021 will be double those of 2019 and most of the increase is volume and services driven. The surge in commodity prices we’ve seen this year is a combination of product scarcity coupled with logistical constraints highlighted by two major incidents: the arctic freeze in the US (which paralyzed a large portion of the US Gulf industry) and the blockage of the Suez Canal (which along with product shortage has caused container rates from Asia to Latin America to rise from US$3,000 to over US$15,000 and even US$20,000 in some cases).
What changes have you made to deal with the logistics disruptions that have persisted in 2021?
Our Andikem business model consists of four pillars: Andino Chemical International (procurement), Andishipping (maritime freight), Anditerminals (storage) and a last mile delivery component for our end users in each Andikem country. As such, we are a logistics company first and foremost. In order to deal with disruptions we have added more capabilities to support our Andikem operations. Andishipping is acquiring a second ship (M/T Andino Nu), which will support the already employed M/T Andino Alpha (both are ~14,000-deadweight stainless steel tankers with multiple segregations). Anditerminals is expanding the storage capacity at its Tuxpan Marine Terminal in Mexico and Andino Chemical is expanding its procurement department to better serve its customers. We noticed early on this year that many suppliers wanted to switch to bulk because they could no longer satisfy their customers with flexi-tanks and ISO-tainers the way they did in the past. This will lead to a modality shift for which we will be well prepared. Suppliers and end users flexible enough to switch to bulk from containers via the hub and spoke model will gain market share over those who cannot. Experts are forecasting that these logistics disruptions could last longer than two years, so there will be no shortage of problems for Andikem to solve for its users.
How do you view the ongoing issues between Pemex and the private sector in Mexico, and the wider issue of feedstock availability in Latin America?
In the case of Pemex the Mexican President is trying to give priority to the State-owned company by reversing some of the agreements that were made under USMCA, which will affect mainly the imports of gasoline, diesel, jet fuel and possibly LPG. Andino is currently not active in these market segments even though our terminal in Tuxpan could have the capability of handling direct discharge of some of those products. On the petrochemical side, the Mexican market is quite healthy. The East Coast terminals are full and we will expand our Tuxpan terminal because we do not see enough petrochemical storage space coming online anytime soon.
From a regional perspective, Latin America will continue to depend on the US Gulf for feedstock given the enormous quantities of shale gas available. It seems inevitable, however, that we are entering a new era in which markets will transition to “greener” energy plays to help combat climate change. Andino is already looking seriously at this transition, trying to anticipate where our logistics services and assets could enhance the ability for suppliers and their customers to “go green”.
When it comes to Andino / Andikem’s growth strategy in Latin America, do you prefer the organic route or M&A, and which markets do you see as having strong potential?
I have always been a big believer in an organic-heavy approach to growth. Acquisition-based growth strategies have many pitfalls and several acquisitions made over a short period often lead to company culture issues, “silo” mentalities and accounting-driven decision making, all of which are to the detriment of customers. So, I’d say two-thirds of Andino’s growth strategy should be organic while we assess carefully selected opportunities for M&A growth, particularly in Colombia, Ecuador and Peru. Oleochemicals, vegetable oils and their derivatives are highly sought after in countries like Mexico, and the excess capacity in the northern Andean belt has the potential to supply the demand. The South American agricultural industry has always been the back yard of North America, from bananas to soy to sugar cane, and there is still plenty of room to grow in all aspects, especially those related to logistics.